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Nico United vs Orapa United

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nico United play Orapa United in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nico United averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Orapa United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Nico United won 0, Orapa United won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Nico United and 1.06 for Orapa United. This points to a Orapa United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nico United
35%
Draws
35%
Orapa United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Nico United picked up more points recently compared to Orapa United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Nico United Clean Sheet 22%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nico United Orapa United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Orapa United vs Nico United
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Premier League
Orapa United vs Nico United
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nico United 31 / 100
Orapa United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nico United Orapa United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orapa United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nico United attacking → ← attacking Orapa United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nico United scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Orapa United let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Nico United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orapa United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 47
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

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6Orapa United301211735:3047
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8Nico United301012828:2542
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