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Nico United vs Orapa United

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Nico United and Orapa United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orapa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nico United
30%
Draws
35%
Orapa United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Orapa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nico United Clean Sheet 20%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nico United Orapa United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Orapa United vs Nico United
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 Premier League
Orapa United vs Nico United
0:0
Feb 24, 2024 Premier League
Nico United vs Orapa United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nico United 31 / 100
Orapa United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nico United Orapa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nico United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nico United's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orapa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Nico United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nico United VS Orapa United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nico United

(Home)
03 Oct
Nico United
3 : 0
Prisons XI Gaborone
11 Sept
Centre Chiefs
2 : 0
Nico United
05 Sept
Nico United
0 : 1
Extension Gunners
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
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Orapa United

(Away)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)