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Nielba Wagrowiec vs Pomorzanin Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nielba Wagrowiec play Pomorzanin Torun in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nielba Wagrowiec averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Pomorzanin Torun averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Nielba Wagrowiec won 0, Pomorzanin Torun won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 19, 2021 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Nielba Wagrowiec and 1.75 for Pomorzanin Torun. This points to a Pomorzanin Torun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nielba Wagrowiec
25%
Draws
45%
Pomorzanin Torun
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pomorzanin Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nielba Wagrowiec picked up more points recently compared to Pomorzanin Torun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 12%
Pomorzanin Torun Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nielba Wagrowiec Pomorzanin Torun
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Pomorzanin Torun
2:4
Mar 6, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Pomorzanin Torun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinke M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Pomorzanin Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Woroniecki K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pokorowski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nielba Wagrowiec 29 / 100
Pomorzanin Torun 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nielba Wagrowiec Pomorzanin Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pomorzanin Torun or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nielba Wagrowiec attacking → ← attacking Pomorzanin Torun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Pomorzanin Torun let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Nielba Wagrowiec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pomorzanin Torun lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 38
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13