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Nigde vs Karaman FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nigde host Karaman FK in the 3. Lig Group 3. This has Nigde written all over it on paper. Karaman FK have shipped 2.9 goals a game lately, while Nigde have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.57. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Nigde. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nigde
15%
Draws
0%
Karaman FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Karaman FK haven't matched Nigde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nigde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nigde Clean Sheet 17%
Karaman FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigde Karaman FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.57 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigde 84 / 100
Karaman FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigde Karaman FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karaman FK has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Nigde has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Karaman FK has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nigde found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Nigde VS Karaman FK
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigde

(Home)
03 Oct
Silifke
0 : 3
Nigde
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
Page 1 of 6

Karaman FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Karaman FK
1 : 7
Kirsehir SK
27 Sept
Karaman FK
0 : 1
Agri 1970
20 Sept
Silifke
3 : 0
Karaman FK
16 Sept
Karaman FK
2 : 3
Kepez Bld.
12 Sept
Karaman FK
0 : 3
Bitlis 1916
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 5 5 0 0 22:2 15
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 5 0 0 5 0:15 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)