Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nigde vs Turgutlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ceylan F.
15' Event
Imir A.
62' Event
Karakas S.

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turgutlu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Nigde
15%
Draws
31%
Turgutlu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigde lately — more wins on the board than Turgutlu.
  • Model gives Nigde a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nigde Clean Sheet 20%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigde Turgutlu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Nigde vs Turgutlu
1:3
Dec 8, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Turgutlu vs Nigde
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigde Compare

Top Goalscorer Karakas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceylan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Imir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigde 85 / 100
Turgutlu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigde Turgutlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Nigde's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nigde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigde VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigde

(Home)
27 Sept
Nigde
2 : 1
Bitlis 1916
20 Sept
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Nigde
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Adanaspor AS
0 : 2
Nigde
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
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Turgutlu

(Away)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)