Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Niger U23 vs Mali U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Moussa I.
23'
Boulhassane S.
31'
Ibrahim D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Mali U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Niger U23
6%
Draws
90%
Mali U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mali U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mali U23 come out ahead of Niger U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mali U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Mali U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Niger U23 Clean Sheet 21%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger U23 Mali U23
Matches Played 12 28
Wins 3 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Niger U23 vs Mali U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niger U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Mali U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger U23 10 / 100
Mali U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger U23 Mali U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mali U23 conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Niger U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Niger U23 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Niger U23 VS Mali U23
0.6 Goals Scored 1.63
0.6 Goals Conceded 1
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger U23

(Home)
01 Jul
Niger U23
0 : 2
Mali U23
28 Jun
Gabon U23
0 : 1
Niger U23
25 Jun
Egypt U23
0 : 0
Niger U23
28 Mar
Sudan U23
1 : 2
Niger U23
22 Mar
Niger U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 3

Mali U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3
Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0
Mali U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U23 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Guinea U23 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U23 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Congo U23 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U23 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Mali U23 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Niger U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Gabon U23 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 (Play Offs)