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Niger vs Guinea

World World

Friendly International 2025
Fri, Jun 6, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Niger host Guinea in the Friendly International 2025. This one's hard to separate. Niger have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Guinea's 1.19 scored and 1.08 conceded. Past meetings favor Guinea slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.44) back Guinea to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Niger
35%
Draws
41%
Guinea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guinea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea have won more games recently than Niger.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Niger Clean Sheet 16%
Guinea Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Guinea
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Niger vs Guinea
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
2:1
Jan 22, 2016 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger 31 / 100
Guinea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Niger has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Niger scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Niger VS Guinea
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger

(Home)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
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Guinea

(Away)
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
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