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Stadium Background

Niger vs Guinea

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Nelson Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Moudou M.
34'
Goumey A.
47' Event
Bangoura M.
Assist: Bangoura A.

AI Match Summary

The African Nations Championship game between Niger and Guinea finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Niger
35%
Draws
41%
Guinea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guinea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Niger Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niger Guinea
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
0:1
Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Niger vs Guinea
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Guinea vs Niger
2:1
Jan 22, 2016 African Nations Championship
Niger vs Guinea
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niger Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niger 42 / 100
Guinea 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niger Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Niger remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Niger scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Niger VS Guinea
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Niger

(Home)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Niger
0 : 1
Togo
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
Page 1 of 6

Guinea

(Away)
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Guinea
2 : 2
Togo
18 Nov
Guinea
1 : 1
Niger
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)