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Nigeria U17 vs Morocco U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maali A.
Assist: Ait Boudlal A.
41'
Olaleke J.
46'
Sub
Ogbadibo T. In: Aondoakaa A.
Out: Ogbadibo T.

AI Match Summary

Morocco U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Nigeria U17
15%
Draws
59%
Morocco U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco U17 have won more games recently than Nigeria U17.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Morocco U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U17 Morocco U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs Morocco U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.57
Avg xA / game 1.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U17 30 / 100
Morocco U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U17 Morocco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U17's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Morocco U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Nigeria U17 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U17 VS Morocco U17
1.67 Goals Scored 3
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Congo U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Somalia U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Nigeria U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Zambia U17 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U17 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Burkina Faso U17 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Cameroon U17 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 South Sudan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams