Sport Picks

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Nigeria U17 vs Zambia U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
Nigeria U17 Logo

Nigeria U17

1 - 0
FT
Zambia U17 Logo

Zambia U17

Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Sub
Kalimina J. In: Nyamikwe S.
Out: Kalimina J.
50'
Sub
Lweendo C. In: Kampamba C.
Out: Lweendo C.
68'
Sub
Malaya S. In: Mwaliteta O.
Out: Malaya S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nigeria U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nigeria U17
20%
Draws
51%
Zambia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zambia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nigeria U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Nigeria U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nigeria U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Zambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U17 Zambia U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.16 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs Zambia U17
1:0
Feb 21, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Nigeria U17 vs Zambia U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zambia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U17 35 / 100
Zambia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U17 Zambia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U17 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Zambia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nigeria U17 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U17 VS Zambia U17
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
Nigeria U17
2 : 3
Tanzania U17
11 May
Nigeria U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
06 May
South Africa U17
2 : 3
Nigeria U17
Page 1 of 7

Zambia U17

(Away)
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3
Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1
Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2
Honduras U17
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3
Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1
Zambia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Congo U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Somalia U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Nigeria U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Zambia U17 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U17 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Burkina Faso U17 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Cameroon U17 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 South Sudan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams