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Nigeria U20 vs Burundi U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Yahya N.
71' Event
Effiom M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Nigeria U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nigeria U20
15%
Draws
42%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nigeria U20 come out ahead of Burundi U20 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nigeria U20 taking it.
  • Nigeria U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nigeria U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nigeria U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Nigeria U20 vs Burundi U20
2:0
Jun 11, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Nigeria U20 vs Burundi U20
2:1
May 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Burundi U20 vs Nigeria U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yahya N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Effiom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Burundi U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria U20 34 / 100
Burundi U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria U20 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Burundi U20 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nigeria U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria U20 VS Burundi U20
1.25 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Nigeria U20
1 : 4
Burkina Faso U20
05 Aug
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 3
Nigeria U20
02 Aug
Nigeria U20
0 : 2
Burkina Faso U20
30 Jul
Nigeria U20
3 : 0
Togo U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
Page 1 of 7

Burundi U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Kenya U20
4 : 0
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 South Africa U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Niger U20 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Burundi U20 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mali U20 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Ghana U20 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Burkina Faso U20 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019 (Play Offs)