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Nigeria vs Ghana

World World

Friendly International 2025 Brentford Community Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dessers C.
Assist: Ismaila S.
19' Event
Simpson R.
Own Goal
23'
Mamudu K.

AI Match Summary

Nigeria in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nigeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nigeria
6%
Draws
4%
Ghana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigeria lately — more wins on the board than Ghana.
  • Nigeria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nigeria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 68%
Ghana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria Ghana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Friendly International
Nigeria vs Ghana
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 African Nations Championship
Nigeria vs Ghana
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 African Nations Championship
Ghana vs Nigeria
0:0
Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Ghana vs Nigeria
1:2
Sep 3, 2022 African Nations Championship
Nigeria vs Ghana
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Dessers C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ghana Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas-Asante B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria 95 / 100
Ghana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria Ghana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NGA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nigeria scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ghana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Nigeria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria VS Ghana
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%