Sport Picks

Nigeria vs Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Complexe sportif de Fès, Fès

Nigeria

2 - 1

Tanzania

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Ajayi S.

Assist: Iwobi A.

47'

Osimhen V.

50'

M'Mombwa C.

Assist: Miroshi N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nigeria in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Nigeria

30%

Draws

31%

Tanzania

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Nigeria lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Nigeria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 26%

Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nigeria	Tanzania
Matches Played	31	26
Wins	17	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.74	1.04
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	1.15	0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Tanzania

2:1

Sep 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria vs Tanzania

1:0

Sep 5, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations

Tanzania vs Nigeria

0:0

Dec 19, 1980 World Championship

Tanzania vs Nigeria

0:2

Dec 5, 1980 World Championship

Nigeria vs Tanzania

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajayi S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lookman A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.88

Avg xA / game 0.57

Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer M'Mombwa C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.75

Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria 38 / 100

Tanzania 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nigeria Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nigeria's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tanzania has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Nigeria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria VS Tanzania

1.63 Goals Scored 1.17

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.67

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 17%

25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria

(Home)

06 Oct

Russia

3 : 3

Nigeria

29 Sept

Guinea Bissau

3 : 0

Nigeria

25 Sept

Nigeria

2 : 1

Madagascar

10 Jun

Portugal

2 : 1

Nigeria

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

Page 1 of 7

Tanzania

(Away)

29 Sept

Madagascar

1 : 1

Tanzania

25 Sept

Tanzania

0 : 2

Guinea Bissau

29 Mar

Macau

0 : 6

Tanzania

26 Mar

Tanzania

0 : 1

Liechtenstein

04 Jan

Morocco

1 : 0

Tanzania

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