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Nigeria W vs Zambia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ohale O.
Assist: Okoronkwo E.
28'
Demehin O.
31'
Sub
Lungu I. In: Katongo E.
Out: Lungu I.

AI Match Summary

Nigeria W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nigeria W
15%
Draws
42%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nigeria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nigeria W lately — more wins on the board than Zambia W.
  • Win probability leans Nigeria W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Nigeria W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nigeria W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nigeria W Clean Sheet 17%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nigeria W Zambia W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
1:0
Jul 18, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
5:0
Jul 22, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
0:1
Nov 21, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Nigeria W vs Zambia W
4:0
Oct 14, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs Nigeria W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nigeria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohale O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoronkwo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zambia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nigeria W 36 / 100
Zambia W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nigeria W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nigeria W scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Zambia W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Zambia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nigeria W VS Zambia W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nigeria W

(Home)
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
09 Aug
Cameroon W
1 : 0
Nigeria W
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Nigeria W
2 : 3
Malawi W
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Zambia W

(Away)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Morocco W 3
Mali W 1
Algeria W 0
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 5
Zambia W 0
South Africa W 1
Senegal W 0
Semi-finals
Morocco W 2
Ghana W 1
Nigeria W 2
South Africa W 1
Final
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 3
Ghana W 2
South Africa W 1