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Nilayo vs Ekiti United Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nilayo in this NNL 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nilayo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Nilayo
15%
Draws
40%
Ekiti United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nilayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekiti United have won more games recently than Nilayo.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nilayo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nilayo Clean Sheet 20%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nilayo Ekiti United
Matches Played 27 38
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 0.74 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 NNL
Ekiti United vs Nilayo
2:0
Feb 28, 2021 NNL
Nilayo vs Ekiti United
1:0
Dec 9, 2019 NNL
Nilayo vs Ekiti United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nilayo 31 / 100
Ekiti United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nilayo Ekiti United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nilayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ekiti United conceded in 63% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nilayo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nilayo's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ekiti United
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nilayo

(Home)
22 Aug
Edel FC
1 : 1
Nilayo
11 Jul
Nilayo
2 : 0
Vandrezzer
04 Jul
Ekiti United
2 : 0
Nilayo
27 Jun
Nilayo
1 : 0
Go Round
16 Jun
Nilayo
2 : 1
Calabar Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Ekiti United

(Away)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gombe 18 10 7 1 25:8 37
2 El Kanemi Warriors 18 10 5 3 21:9 35
3 Mighty Jets 18 7 4 7 18:13 25
4 Sokoto United 18 7 4 7 15:16 25
5 Rarara 18 6 5 7 16:20 23
6 EFCC FC 18 5 6 7 15:17 21
7 Green Beret 18 5 5 8 15:18 20
8 Nigeria Airforce FC 18 4 8 6 11:15 20
9 Taraba 18 5 5 8 15:22 20
10 Oyah Sports 18 6 1 11 11:24 19
11 Aklosendi Int'l FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niger Tornadoes 16 9 3 4 19:7 30
2 DMD 16 9 1 6 16:12 28
3 Yobe Stars 16 9 0 7 16:14 27
4 ABS 16 7 3 6 13:14 24
5 Malumfashi 16 7 2 7 11:14 23
6 Kebbi 16 6 2 8 18:19 20
7 Zamfara United 16 6 2 8 14:15 20
8 Road Safety FC 16 5 4 7 9:15 19
9 Kogi United 16 4 3 9 11:17 15
10 Shekarau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shooting 20 12 5 3 29:10 41
2 Ekiti United 20 10 3 7 22:16 33
3 Go Round 20 9 4 7 22:15 31
4 Nilayo 20 8 5 7 14:16 29
5 Edel FC 20 7 6 7 21:22 27
6 Vandrezzer 20 8 3 9 20:23 27
7 Delta Force 20 7 5 8 13:15 26
8 Calabar Rovers 20 7 4 9 19:20 25
9 Giant Brillars 20 6 5 9 16:20 23
10 Osun United 20 6 5 9 13:20 23
11 Dynamite Force FC 20 6 3 11 16:28 21
12 Stationery Stores 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo Stars 22 14 1 7 28:13 43
2 Bendel 21 11 5 5 26:13 38
3 Gateway United 22 12 1 9 25:21 37
4 Bayelsa United 22 11 3 8 33:22 36
5 One Rocket 22 10 4 8 23:19 34
6 Crown FC 22 10 3 9 25:24 33
7 Ibom Youths 22 9 4 9 22:24 31
8 J'Atete FC 21 9 3 9 25:26 30
9 Abia Comets 22 7 6 9 14:16 27
10 Goddosky 22 6 5 11 19:36 23
11 Joy Cometh 22 5 6 11 17:28 21
12 Apex Krane 22 4 5 13 14:29 17
13 Holy Arrows 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)
Promotion - NNL 2020/2021 (Winners stage)