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Ninense vs Valenciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Ninense Logo

Ninense

1 - 0
FT
Valenciano Logo

Valenciano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 game between Ninense and Valenciano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ninense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ninense
30%
Draws
23%
Valenciano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ninense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valenciano come out ahead of Ninense on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ninense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ninense Clean Sheet 19%
Valenciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ninense Valenciano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Valenciano
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Ninense
5:1
Jan 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ninense vs Valenciano
1:0
Nov 17, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Ninense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ninense 85 / 100
Valenciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ninense Valenciano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ninense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciano let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Ninense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ninense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ninense VS Valenciano
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ninense

(Home)
24 May
Ninense
1 : 1
Valenciano
11 May
Santa Maria FC
1 : 1
Ninense
04 May
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 0
Ninense
27 Apr
Ninense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
19 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
1 : 1
Ninense
Page 1 of 6

Valenciano

(Away)
31 Aug
Valenciano
1 : 4
SC Vianense
11 Sept
Valenciano
2 : 4
Merelinense
20 Oct
Valenciano
0 : 7
Vitoria Guimaraes
30 Sept
Praia Milfontes
2 : 5
Valenciano
08 Sept
AD Limianos
4 : 0
Valenciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 18 10 4 4 27:16 34
2 AD Fafe 18 8 9 1 21:9 33
3 GD Braganca 18 9 6 3 25:17 33
4 SC Mirandela 18 7 8 3 21:13 29
5 SC Vianense 18 7 5 6 15:12 26
6 Santa Maria FC 18 6 4 8 17:21 22
7 Vilaverdense FC 18 5 6 7 12:15 21
8 Valenciano 18 6 3 9 16:23 21
9 Pedras Salgadas 18 3 6 9 17:27 15
10 Ninense 18 1 5 12 11:29 8
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Relegation Group)