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Stadium Background

Ninove vs Dessel

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mathei J.
12' Event
Mathei J.
32' Event
Mathei J.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Ninove and Dessel finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dessel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ninove
15%
Draws
65%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dessel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Dessel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Dessel taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Dessel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ninove Clean Sheet 10%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ninove Dessel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Dessel
1:6
Oct 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Ninove
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Dessel vs Ninove
4:2
Nov 16, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Ninove vs Dessel
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 National Division 1
Ninove vs Dessel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ninove Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dessel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathei J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Troonbeeckx M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ninove 10 / 100
Dessel 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ninove Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dessel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ninove's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ninove has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ninove VS Dessel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ninove

(Home)
26 Apr
Ninove
3 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Apr
Hoogstraten
3 : 1
Ninove
11 Apr
Ninove
0 : 4
Knokke
29 Mar
Diegem
5 : 0
Ninove
21 Mar
Ninove
1 : 3
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 6

Dessel

(Away)
26 Apr
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dessel
18 Apr
Dessel
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge 2
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
28 Mar
Dessel
3 : 1
Zelzate
21 Mar
Dessel
4 : 3
Knokke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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