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Niroye Zamini vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Delfi Y.
42' Event
Delfi Y.
82' Event
Seydali O.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Niroye Zamini and Kara Gostar Shabestar finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Niroye Zamini.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Niroye Zamini
39%
Draws
30%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kara Gostar Shabestar come out ahead of Niroye Zamini on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Niroye Zamini Clean Sheet 26%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niroye Zamini Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Niroye Zamini
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
5:0
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Niroye Zamini
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niroye Zamini Compare

Top Goalscorer Delfi Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Seydali O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niroye Zamini 33 / 100
Kara Gostar Shabestar 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niroye Zamini Kara Gostar Shabestar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Niroye Zamini scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Niroye Zamini remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Niroye Zamini VS Kara Gostar Shabestar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618