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Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Khodamoradi A.
83' Event
90' Event
Seydali O.

AI Match Summary

Niroye Zamini in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niroye Zamini.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Niroye Zamini
11%
Draws
9%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Niroye Zamini

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Naft Gachsaran have won more games recently than Niroye Zamini.
  • Niroye Zamini are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Azadegan League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Niroye Zamini Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niroye Zamini Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini
0:3
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran
2:1
Feb 13, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Azadegan League
Niroye Zamini vs Naft Gachsaran
0:1
Feb 15, 2015 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Niroye Zamini
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niroye Zamini Compare

Top Goalscorer Khodamoradi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seydali O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niroye Zamini 86 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niroye Zamini Naft Gachsaran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Naft Gachsaran has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Niroye Zamini scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Niroye Zamini VS Naft Gachsaran
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618