Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nissa vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Alagna F.
78' Event
Samake B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Nissa and Igea Virtus finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nissa
30%
Draws
19%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nissa come out ahead of Igea Virtus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nissa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa Igea Virtus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Igea Virtus
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nissa
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs Igea Virtus
3:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Nissa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 95 / 100
Igea Virtus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nissa's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nissa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Igea Virtus conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS Igea Virtus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Nissa
3 : 0
Enna
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
USD Ragusa
1 : 0
Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)