Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nissa vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Dorato S. M.
45' Event
Padovano L.
65' Event
Diaz A.

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nissa
35%
Draws
25%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nissa have won more games recently than S. Agata.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Nissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nissa Clean Sheet 20%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nissa S. Agata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs S. Agata
3:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Nissa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonanno T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorato S. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padovano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nissa 40 / 100
S. Agata 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nissa S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nissa found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

S. Agata has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nissa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nissa VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
Page 1 of 7

S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)