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Niteroiense vs Riostrense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2024
Niteroiense Logo

Niteroiense

2 - 0
FT
Riostrense Logo

Riostrense

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Barbosa F.
45' Event
Sassa
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Niteroiense in this Carioca C 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Niteroiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Niteroiense
35%
Draws
20%
Riostrense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Niteroiense have won more games recently than Riostrense.
  • Model gives Niteroiense a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 10%
Riostrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niteroiense Riostrense
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2024 Carioca C
Niteroiense vs Riostrense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbosa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sassa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Riostrense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niteroiense 83 / 100
Riostrense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niteroiense Riostrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niteroiense's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Niteroiense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Riostrense has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Niteroiense VS Riostrense
1.25 Goals Scored 2.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Niteroiense

(Home)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
Page 1 of 6

Riostrense

(Away)
28 Aug
Santa Cruz RJ
6 : 2
Riostrense
24 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 3
Santa Cruz RJ
10 Aug
Riostrense
1 : 1
Uniao Central
03 Aug
Juventus RJ
1 : 1
Riostrense
27 Jul
Riostrense
6 : 1
Caac Brazil
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 9 8 0 1 24:3 24
2 EC Vera Cruz 9 6 2 1 16:4 20
3 Uni Souza 9 6 2 1 14:2 20
4 Campos AA 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
5 Rio Barra 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
6 Uniao Central 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
7 Santa Cruz RJ 9 2 2 5 9:19 8
8 Riostrense 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Caac Brazil 9 1 1 7 6:19 4
10 Paraty 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - Carioca C 2024 (Play Offs)