Sport Picks

Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026 Štadión Pod Zoborom

Spartak Dubnica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nitra play Spartak Dubnica in the 4. liga - West 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nitra averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Spartak Dubnica averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Nitra won 2, Spartak Dubnica won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Nitra and 1.13 for Spartak Dubnica. This points to a Nitra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Nitra

15%

Draws

36%

Spartak Dubnica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Nitra picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Dubnica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Nitra Clean Sheet 21%

Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nitra	Spartak Dubnica
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	24	18
Draws	4	5
Losses	2	7
Goals Scored	2.6	2
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 4. liga - West

Nitra vs Spartak Dubnica

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

4:1

Oct 11, 2025 4. liga - West

Spartak Dubnica vs Nitra

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

May 31, 2025 4. liga - West

Spartak Dubnica vs Nitra

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 26, 2024 4. liga - West

Nitra vs Spartak Dubnica

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nitra 48 / 100

Spartak Dubnica 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nitra Spartak Dubnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nitra or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nitra attacking → ← attacking Spartak Dubnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nitra scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Spartak Dubnica let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nitra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Dubnica lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 59

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88