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Niva Dolbizno vs Petrikov

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Burko M.
38' Event
Fedortsov D.
Assist: Dobrolovich V.
69'
Sub
Starostin V. In: Chizh M.
Out: Starostin V.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2023 game between Niva Dolbizno and Petrikov finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrikov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Niva Dolbizno
15%
Draws
17%
Petrikov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niva Dolbizno come out ahead of Petrikov on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Niva Dolbizno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 20%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Niva Dolbizno Petrikov
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Petrikov
1:3
Jul 9, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Niva Dolbizno
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedortsov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Burko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shaplyko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Niva Dolbizno 85 / 100
Petrikov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Niva Dolbizno Petrikov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Niva Dolbizno found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Petrikov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Niva Dolbizno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Niva Dolbizno VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Niva Dolbizno

(Home)
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
04 Sept
FC Minsk 2
3 : 4
Niva Dolbizno
30 Aug
Niva Dolbizno
6 : 0
Osipovichi
Page 1 of 7

Petrikov

(Away)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)