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NK Brezice vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
NK Brezice Logo

NK Brezice

Fri, Oct 23, 2026
4 - 2
04:00 PM
Aluminij Logo

Aluminij

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Boben M.
53' Event
Bloudek A.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Schaubach R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
NK Brezice
30%
Draws
23%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NK Brezice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NK Brezice lately — more wins on the board than Aluminij.
  • Model gives NK Brezice a 47% chance of winning this.
  • NK Brezice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NK Brezice, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Aluminij
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Slovenian Cup
NK Brezice vs Aluminij
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Brezice Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirk L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hervol J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Schaubach R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 83 / 100
Aluminij 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Brezice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

NK Brezice's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aluminij let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: NK Brezice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Aluminij
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
02 Nov
NK Brezice
0 : 6
Beltinci
27 Oct
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
NK Brezice
23 Oct
NK Brezice
4 : 2
Aluminij
18 Oct
NK Brezice
2 : 1
Krsko Posavje
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
Page 1 of 6

Aluminij

(Away)
31 Oct
Aluminij
5 : 0
Radomlje
28 Oct
Nafta
0 : 0
Aluminij
23 Oct
NK Brezice
4 : 2
Aluminij
16 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 1
O. Ljubljana
10 Oct
Celje
1 : 0
Aluminij
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
NK Brezice 4
Aluminij 2
Triglav 2
Nafta 1
Tabor Sezana 1
Koper 0
Fuzinar 5
NK Carda Martjanci 1
NK Ormoz 1
Race 3
Podvinci 0
Radomlje 1
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Beltinci 5
Korotan Prevalje 0
Celje 2
Grad 0
Tolmin 3
SD Videm 0
Grosuplje 2
NK Velesovo 0
Bravo 7
Marjeta na Dravskem polju 2
Odranci 3
Turnisce 1
Dob 4
Bistrica 4
Bilje 3
Litija 0
Ljubljana Svoboda 1
Sencur 3
Krsko Posavje 2
1/8-finals
NK Brezice -
Triglav -
Tabor Sezana -
Fuzinar -
Race -
Radomlje -
Beltinci -
Celje -
Tolmin -
Grosuplje -
Bravo -
Odranci -
Dob -
Bistrica -
Ljubljana Svoboda -
Sencur -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -