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NK Brezice vs Ilirija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Brezice host Ilirija in the 2. SNL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. NK Brezice have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Ilirija's 1.55 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor NK Brezice slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 20, 2021, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.94, favoring NK Brezice. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
NK Brezice
20%
Draws
42%
Ilirija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • NK Brezice have managed 1.54 goals a game lately — Ilirija are scoring more at 1.55.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ilirija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Ilirija
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Ilirija
2:1
Aug 8, 2021 2. SNL
Ilirija vs NK Brezice
2:2
May 4, 2019 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Ilirija
3:1
Oct 13, 2018 2. SNL
Ilirija vs NK Brezice
1:1
Apr 28, 2018 2. SNL
Ilirija vs NK Brezice
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 18 / 100
Ilirija 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Ilirija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilirija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: NK Brezice scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Ilirija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: NK Brezice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Ilirija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
02 Nov
NK Brezice
0 : 6
Beltinci
27 Oct
Jadran Dekani
0 : 0
NK Brezice
23 Oct
NK Brezice
4 : 2
Aluminij
18 Oct
NK Brezice
2 : 1
Krsko Posavje
10 Oct
Jesenice
2 : 2
NK Brezice
Page 1 of 6

Ilirija

(Away)
31 Oct
Vrhnika
1 : 4
Ilirija
27 Oct
Ilirija
3 : 0
Bilje
16 Oct
Ilirija
0 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 1
NK Krka
04 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 4
Beltinci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
2 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
3 Triglav 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Bistrica 13 7 2 4 19:16 23
5 Ilirija 13 7 1 5 24:13 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
9 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
10 Jadran Dekani 13 4 4 5 7:8 16
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)