Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Brezice vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between NK Brezice and Ljutomer finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Brezice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
NK Brezice
30%
Draws
47%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ljutomer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Brezice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and NK Brezice have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 11%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Ljutomer
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Ljutomer
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Brezice
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs NK Brezice
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Ljutomer
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Ljutomer
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 35 / 100
Ljutomer 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljutomer has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: NK Brezice scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Ljutomer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Ljutomer
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
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Ljutomer

(Away)
29 Sept
Podvinci
2 : 1
Ljutomer
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)