Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Brezice vs Rogaska

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 game between NK Brezice and Rogaska finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Brezice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
NK Brezice
20%
Draws
40%
Rogaska
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rogaska haven't matched NK Brezice's recent run of results.
  • Model gives NK Brezice a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 19%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Rogaska
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Rogaska
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 3. SNL - East
Rogaska vs NK Brezice
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 2. SNL
Rogaska vs NK Brezice
4:0
Aug 28, 2021 2. SNL
NK Brezice vs Rogaska
0:2
Jul 6, 2021 Club Friendly
Rogaska vs NK Brezice
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 58 / 100
Rogaska 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Rogaska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Brezice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NK Brezice scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Rogaska conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Rogaska lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Rogaska
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
28 Aug
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
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Rogaska

(Away)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)