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Stadium Background

NK Brezice vs Sampion Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2024/2025 game between NK Brezice and Sampion Celje finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NK Brezice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
NK Brezice
15%
Draws
64%
Sampion Celje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sampion Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NK Brezice come out ahead of Sampion Celje on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 10%
Sampion Celje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Sampion Celje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.55 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Sampion Celje
4:0
Aug 31, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Brezice
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 3. SNL - East
Sampion Celje vs NK Brezice
2:3
Sep 30, 2023 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Sampion Celje
8:2
Apr 8, 2023 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Sampion Celje
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 34 / 100
Sampion Celje 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Sampion Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampion Celje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sampion Celje conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: NK Brezice scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sampion Celje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NK Brezice VS Sampion Celje
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Brezice

(Home)
03 Oct
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Primorje
27 Sept
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
NK Brezice
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
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Sampion Celje

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Videm
1 : 0
Sampion Celje
27 Sept
Odranci
5 : 1
Sampion Celje
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
05 Sept
Sampion Celje
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krsko Posavje 26 17 3 6 64:26 54
2 NK Brezice 26 15 5 6 54:32 50
3 SD Videm 26 15 4 7 48:30 49
4 NK Smartno 26 12 4 10 69:54 40
5 Hajdina 26 11 6 9 45:39 39
6 Ljutomer 26 11 5 10 34:43 38
7 Korotan Prevalje 26 10 6 10 39:42 36
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 9 9 8 43:47 36
9 Zavrc 26 9 7 10 44:44 34
10 Podvinci 26 7 11 8 36:38 32
11 Fuzinar 26 9 3 14 40:45 30
12 Dobrovce 26 9 3 14 43:51 30
13 Starse 26 6 5 15 33:62 23
14 Sampion Celje 26 5 3 18 29:68 18
Promotion - 2. SNL 2025/2026 (Main)