Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Brezice vs Zavrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NK Brezice play Zavrc in the 3. SNL - East. It looks like a close match. Recently, NK Brezice averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Zavrc averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, NK Brezice won 2, Zavrc won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for NK Brezice and 0.94 for Zavrc. This points to a NK Brezice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
NK Brezice
22%
Draws
32%
Zavrc
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: NK Brezice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • NK Brezice picked up more points recently compared to Zavrc.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
NK Brezice Clean Sheet 24%
Zavrc Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Brezice Zavrc
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
6:0
Nov 8, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Brezice
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs NK Brezice
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
4:0
May 18, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Brezice vs Zavrc
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Brezice 46 / 100
Zavrc 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Brezice Zavrc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: NK Brezice or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NK Brezice attacking → ← attacking Zavrc

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Brezice scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Zavrc let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

NK Brezice went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Zavrc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 42
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SD Videm24164458:3252
2NK Brezice24155443:2550
3Korotan Prevalje24116737:3439
4NK Carda Martjanci24114949:3937
5Fuzinar24106850:3336
6Hajdina24105929:3135
7Zavrc241031131:3733
8NK Smartno2496938:3633
9Podvinci24861026:2830
10Race24610828:3028
11Rogaska24681032:3626
12Ljutomer24391235:5318
13Dobrovce24341722:6413
14Drava00000:00