Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NK Krka vs ND Gorica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Portoval, Novo Mesto
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Goga T.
30' Event
Bicanic L.
52' Event
Goga T.

AI Match Summary

ND Gorica in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored ND Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
NK Krka
15%
Draws
46%
ND Gorica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • NK Krka have won more games recently than ND Gorica.
  • Model gives ND Gorica a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ND Gorica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 17%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Krka ND Gorica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs ND Gorica
1:4
Oct 24, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs NK Krka
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 2. SNL
NK Krka vs ND Gorica
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs NK Krka
1:0
Mar 22, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs NK Krka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Krka Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicanic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Goga T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nwachukwu P. O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Krka 23 / 100
ND Gorica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Krka ND Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ND Gorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ND Gorica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

NK Krka's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

NK Krka has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NK Krka VS ND Gorica
1.88 Goals Scored 0.67
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Krka

(Home)
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
28 Aug
Primorje
3 : 2
NK Krka
Page 1 of 7

ND Gorica

(Away)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)