Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
NK Novalja in this 2. HNL 2005/2006 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored NK Novalja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragovoljac
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- NK Novalja have won more games recently than Dragovoljac.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors NK Novalja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
NK Novalja Clean Sheet 19%
Dragovoljac Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NK Novalja | Dragovoljac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2006 Croatian Cup
Dragovoljac vs NK Novalja
1:3
Nov 13, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Dragovoljac
4:0
Sep 14, 2005 Prva NL
Dragovoljac vs NK Novalja
4:2
May 1, 2005 Prva NL
NK Novalja vs Dragovoljac
1:0
Apr 10, 2005 Prva NL
Dragovoljac vs NK Novalja
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NK Novalja 32 / 100
Dragovoljac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NK Novalja Dragovoljac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
NK Novalja's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Dragovoljac conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
NK Novalja has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Dragovoljac
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
NK Novalja
(Home) 28 Aug
Novigrad Podravski
3 : 0 NK Novalja
26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1 Zagorec Krapina
24 Aug
Mladost Petrinja
3 : 1 NK Novalja
25 Aug
Nosteria
3 : 2 NK Novalja
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26 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Osijek
29 Aug
NK Novalja
3 : 1 Zagorec Krapina
27 Aug
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Metalac Sisak
20 Sept
NK Novalja
0 : 4 NK Zagreb
06 May
NK Novalja
0 : 1 Sibenik
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Dragovoljac
(Away) 25 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 1 Radnik Krizevci
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1 Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Dragovoljac
1 : 0 Slavonija Pozega
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5 Slaven Belupo
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1 Dragovoljac
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19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1 Dragovoljac
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1 Dragovoljac
26 Aug
NK Dinamo Predavac
0 : 2 Dragovoljac
21 Aug
Uljanik Pula
3 : 2 Dragovoljac
23 May
Segesta
3 : 1 Dragovoljac
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belisce | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:14 | 48 |
| 2 | Graficar Vodovod | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Bjelovar | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 25:26 | 37 |
| 4 | Vukovar 1991 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 36:21 | 35 |
| 5 | NK Koprivnica | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 35 |
| 6 | Metalac Osijek | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:16 | 33 |
| 7 | Marsonia | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | 31 |
| 8 | NK Cakovec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33:40 | 28 |
| 9 | Granicar Zupanja | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 10 | Dilj | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Slavonija Pozega | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30:42 | 22 |
| 12 | Mladost Molve | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 23:64 | 9 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sibenik | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 46 |
| 2 | NK Pomorac | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 44:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Croatia Sesvete | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 39:30 | 35 |
| 4 | NK Novalja | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:29 | 33 |
| 5 | Imotski | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Dragovoljac | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Naftas Ivanic | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 8 | Zadar | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 9 | NK Mosor | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:36 | 25 |
| 10 | Solin | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 37:39 | 21 |
| 11 | Segesta | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 21:41 | 20 |
| 12 | Karlovac | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18:44 | 17 |
Promotion - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 2. HNL 2005/2006 (Relegation Group)
