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NK Polana vs Zavrc

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Bojnec J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with NK Polana advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
NK Polana
15%
Draws
34%
Zavrc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Polana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Zavrc haven't matched NK Polana's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • NK Polana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NK Polana, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
NK Polana Clean Sheet 10%
Zavrc Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Polana Zavrc
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Slovenian Cup
NK Polana vs Zavrc
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Polana 29 / 100
Zavrc 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Polana Zavrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Polana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NK Polana scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Zavrc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Zavrc registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

NK Polana VS Zavrc
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Polana

(Home)
18 Nov
Aluminij
7 : 1
NK Polana
22 Oct
NK Polana
1 : 0
Zavrc
31 Oct
Bela Krajina
1 : 0
NK Polana
18 Sept
NK Polana
1 : 0
Odranci
02 Nov
NK Polana
1 : 4
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Zavrc

(Away)
23 May
NK Brezice
6 : 0
Zavrc
16 May
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 1
Zavrc
09 May
Zavrc
1 : 1
Race
30 Apr
Podvinci
2 : 3
Zavrc
25 Apr
Zavrc
1 : 4
Fuzinar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1