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NK Zagreb vs Oriolik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2021/2022 Stadion u Kranjčevićevoj ulici, Zagreb
NK Zagreb Logo

NK Zagreb

0 - 1
FT
Oriolik Logo

Oriolik

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Juric G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Oriolik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
NK Zagreb
15%
Draws
42%
Oriolik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Oriolik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on NK Zagreb taking it.
  • Oriolik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oriolik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%
Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NK Zagreb Oriolik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.55 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2021 Croatian Cup
NK Zagreb vs Oriolik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NK Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Oriolik Compare

Top Goalscorer Juric G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NK Zagreb 65 / 100
Oriolik 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NK Zagreb Oriolik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriolik let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Oriolik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

NK Zagreb scored in 34% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

NK Zagreb VS Oriolik
0 Goals Scored 1.63
6 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NK Zagreb

(Home)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Oriolik

(Away)
09 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
4 : 0
Oriolik
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
11 Sept
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 0
Oriolik
01 Nov
Oriolik
0 : 8
Din. Zagreb
27 Sept
Jadran Porec
0 : 1
Oriolik
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sesvete 1
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Varazdin -
Radnik Krizevci 2
Dugopolje 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Belisce 4
Mladost Prelog 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Primorac Biograd 1
Samobor 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Nehaj Senj 2
Borac Imbriovec 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Mladost Zdralovi 4
Neretvanac 2
TBD -
Zapresic -
Granicar Zupanja 0
Rudar Labin 1
TBD -
RNK Split -
Vuteks Sloga 3
NK Straza Hum na Sutli 1
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Virovitica 0
Bijelo Brdo 4
TBD -
Cibalia -
Orijent 2
Marsonia 1
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Zagreb -
TBD -
Moslavina 0
Oriolik 2
Pitomaca 2
Kurilovec 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Podravina Ludbreg 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Rudes -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Medjimurje 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Zagora 1
Karlovac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
1/16-finals
Sesvete 2
Varazdin 3
Dugopolje 1
Lok. Zagreb 2
Belisce 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Primorac Biograd 1
Hajduk Split 2
Nehaj Senj 3
HNK Gorica 7
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Zapresic 1
Rudar Labin 2
RNK Split 0
Vuteks Sloga 0
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 1
Cibalia 0
Orijent 1
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Zagreb 0
Oriolik 1
Pitomaca 0
Rijeka 7
Bjelovar 1
Rudes 5
Bednja Beletinec 0
Osijek 3
Medjimurje 0
Sibenik 1
Karlovac 0
Slaven Belupo 2
1/8-finals
Varazdin 2
Lok. Zagreb 3
Belisce 1
Hajduk Split 5
HNK Gorica 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Rudar Labin 2
Istra 1961 3
Bijelo Brdo 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Oriolik 0
Rijeka 6
Rudes 0
Osijek 2
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Quarter-finals
Lok. Zagreb 3
Hajduk Split 6
HNK Gorica 3
Istra 1961 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Semi-finals
Hajduk Split 2
HNK Gorica 1
Rijeka 3
Osijek 2
Final
Hajduk Split 3
Rijeka 1