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Nkana vs Kansanshi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Nkana in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nkana
35%
Draws
30%
Kansanshi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kansanshi at 0.93 per game, Nkana at 0.82.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nkana Clean Sheet 20%
Kansanshi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Kansanshi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.82 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Kansanshi vs Nkana
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Kansanshi
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Absa Cup
Kansanshi vs Nkana
0:1
May 19, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Kansanshi
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Super League
Kansanshi vs Nkana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 31 / 100
Kansanshi 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Kansanshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nkana scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Nkana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kansanshi has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Kansanshi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
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Kansanshi

(Away)
04 Oct
Makeni All Stars
0 : 0
Kansanshi
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
06 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
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