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Nkana vs Konkola Blades

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nkana and Konkola Blades finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nkana
40%
Draws
29%
Konkola Blades
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Konkola Blades come out ahead of Nkana on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nkana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%
Konkola Blades Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Konkola Blades
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Konkola Blades
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Super League
Konkola Blades vs Nkana
0:0
Apr 17, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Konkola Blades
2:1
Nov 8, 2023 Super League
Konkola Blades vs Nkana
1:2
Mar 26, 2022 Super League
Nkana vs Konkola Blades
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 42 / 100
Konkola Blades 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Konkola Blades

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Konkola Blades has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nkana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Nkana scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Konkola Blades
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%