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Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nkana in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nkana
15%
Draws
0%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nchanga Rangers haven't matched Nkana's recent run of results.
  • Nkana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Nkana Clean Sheet 20%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0
May 3, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Nkana
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Nkana
2:0
Oct 23, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Nchanga Rangers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 85 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Nchanga Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nchanga Rangers lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nkana's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nchanga Rangers has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Nkana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Nchanga Rangers
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
18 Oct
Nkana
2 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
10 Oct
Nkana
4 : 1
Makeni All Stars
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
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Nchanga Rangers

(Away)
18 Oct
Nkana
2 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
11 Oct
Power Dynamos
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
03 Oct
Nchanga Rangers
0 : 1
Zanaco
23 May
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 2
Konkola Blades
16 May
Zanaco
1 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)