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Nkana vs Prison Leopards

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Nkana and Prison Leopards finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nkana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nkana
30%
Draws
41%
Prison Leopards
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prison Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nkana come out ahead of Prison Leopards on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkana Prison Leopards
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Super League
Nkana vs Prison Leopards
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nkana
0:0
Apr 3, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Prison Leopards
0:0
Oct 28, 2023 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Nkana
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Super League
Nkana vs Prison Leopards
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkana 41 / 100
Prison Leopards 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkana Prison Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prison Leopards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Nkana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Nkana scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nkana VS Prison Leopards
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkana

(Home)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
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Prison Leopards

(Away)
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
29 Apr
Zesco
1 : 1
Prison Leopards
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