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Nkwazi vs Atletico Lusaka

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Ocran R.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Chisi T.
79' Event
Mutoshi L.

AI Match Summary

Nkwazi in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkwazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nkwazi
33%
Draws
27%
Atletico Lusaka
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nkwazi at 0.63 per game, Atletico Lusaka at 0.
  • Win probability leans Nkwazi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Lusaka Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Atletico Lusaka
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Atletico Lusaka
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Super League
Atletico Lusaka vs Nkwazi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nkwazi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutoshi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Atletico Lusaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Chisi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 50 / 100
Atletico Lusaka 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Atletico Lusaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Lusaka let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Nkwazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Atletico Lusaka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkwazi

(Home)
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
29 Apr
Nchanga Rangers
1 : 0
Nkwazi
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Lusaka

(Away)
17 May
Zesco
3 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
03 May
Indeni
0 : 2
Atletico Lusaka
19 Apr
Atletico Lusaka
1 : 2
Mutondo Stars
09 Apr
Red Arrows
0 : 1
Atletico Lusaka
02 Apr
Atletico Lusaka
1 : 2
Lumwana Radiants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Main)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Main)