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Nkwazi vs NAPSA Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Nkwazi in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nkwazi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nkwazi
30%
Draws
37%
NAPSA Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: NAPSA Stars at 0.83 per game, Nkwazi at 0.64.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 68%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi NAPSA Stars
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.64 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs NAPSA Stars
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkwazi
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkwazi
1:1
Aug 28, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs NAPSA Stars
0:1
May 18, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Nkwazi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 42 / 100
NAPSA Stars 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi NAPSA Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NAPSA Stars has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nkwazi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nkwazi's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS NAPSA Stars
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkwazi

(Home)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
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NAPSA Stars

(Away)
03 Oct
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Muza Fc
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
11 Sept
Zanaco
0 : 2
NAPSA Stars
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Konkola Blades
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
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