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Nkwazi vs Zesco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nkwazi
30%
Draws
43%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zesco have won more games recently than Nkwazi.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Zesco
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.64 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Zesco
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Zesco
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 32 / 100
Zesco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Zesco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Nkwazi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nkwazi scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS Zesco
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkwazi

(Home)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
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Zesco

(Away)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
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