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Nkwazi vs Zesco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nkwazi host Zesco in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Nkwazi have averaged 0.72 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Zesco's 1.11 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Nkwazi have won 1 to Zesco's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.44 vs 0.94, favoring Zesco. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nkwazi
35%
Draws
35%
Zesco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zesco lately — more wins on the board than Nkwazi.
  • Model gives Nkwazi a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nkwazi Zesco
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.72 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Zesco
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Super League
Nkwazi vs Zesco
2:2
Sep 18, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
1:1
Jan 13, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Nkwazi
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nkwazi 42 / 100
Zesco 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nkwazi Zesco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nkwazi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nkwazi scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Nkwazi VS Zesco
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nkwazi

(Home)
18 Oct
Green Buffaloes FC
0 : 0
Nkwazi
10 Oct
Nkwazi
0 : 0
Chirundu United
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
Page 1 of 6

Zesco

(Away)
18 Oct
Zesco
0 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
10 Oct
Zesco
0 : 1
Green Eagles
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nkana 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Muza Fc 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Konkola Blades 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Power Dynamos 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Zanaco 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kansanshi 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 NAPSA Stars 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
8 Trident 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
9 Makeni All Stars 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
10 Nchanga Rangers 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Green Buffaloes FC 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Red Arrows 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kabwe 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
5 Chirundu United 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Roan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
7 Zesco 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
8 Nkwazi 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
9 Mufulira Wanderers 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
10 Mutondo Stars 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)