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Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Tukuma pilsētas stadions
Sun, Aug 1, 2021
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Noah Jurmala host FK Liepaja in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Noah Jurmala at 0 goals for, 0 against; FK Liepaja at 1.5 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Noah Jurmala have won 0 to FK Liepaja's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 1.30) point toward FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Noah Jurmala
6%
Draws
90%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Liepaja have won more games recently than Noah Jurmala.
  • FK Liepaja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FK Liepaja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 19%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Jurmala FK Liepaja
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Oct 23, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Aug 1, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:3
May 29, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
FK Liepaja 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Jurmala FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

FK Liepaja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Noah Jurmala scored in 18% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Liepaja
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS28206265:2266
2Valmiera28195454:1962
3FK Liepaja28163947:2651
4Riga FC28148654:2650
5Spartaks Jurmala281121540:4135
6BFC Daugavpils28951437:5332
7FK Metta28551833:5520
8Noah Jurmala2810278:963
9Ventspils00000:00