Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Noah vs Ararat Yerevan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Helder Ferreira
23'
Berte M.
31' Event
Helder Ferreira

AI Match Summary

Noah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Noah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Noah
15%
Draws
27%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Noah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Noah have won more games recently than Ararat Yerevan.
  • Model gives Noah a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Noah have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Noah Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noah Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
May 19, 2026 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
8:3
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Noah
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Noah vs Ararat Yerevan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noah Compare

Top Goalscorer Helder Ferreira
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manvelyan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noah 85 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noah Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noah found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Ararat Yerevan has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Noah has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Noah VS Ararat Yerevan
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noah

(Home)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
18 Sept
Noah
2 : 0
Van
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 0
Syunik
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia
30 Aug
Noah
4 : 0
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 8 4 3 1 18:6 15
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 8 1 1 6 4:21 4
11 FC Gandzasar 8 1 0 7 8:20 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)