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Noblejas vs Marchamalo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nieto S.
79'
Heras A.
79'
Heras A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Noblejas
30%
Draws
38%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marchamalo lately — more wins on the board than Noblejas.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 20%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Marchamalo
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 5 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Marchamalo
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Noblejas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Braun C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 32 / 100
Marchamalo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Noblejas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marchamalo let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Marchamalo
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
09 May
Noblejas
1 : 1
Marchamalo
Page 1 of 6

Marchamalo

(Away)
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)