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Noblejas vs Toledo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Saiz Ramirez G.
44' Event
El Hilali A.
60' Event
Santiago A.

AI Match Summary

Noblejas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Noblejas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Noblejas
20%
Draws
47%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Toledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Toledo have won more games recently than Noblejas.
  • Model gives Toledo a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Toledo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Toledo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Toledo
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Toledo
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Noblejas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hilali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santiago A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiz Ramirez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 20 / 100
Toledo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toledo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Noblejas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Toledo let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Toledo
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

Toledo

(Away)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
Toledo
4 : 0
La Solana
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)