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Noblejas vs Toledo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mazzocchi J.
47' Event
Atta K.
62' Event
Mazzocchi J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Noblejas and Toledo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toledo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Noblejas
30%
Draws
19%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Noblejas haven't matched Toledo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Noblejas a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Toledo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 68%
Toledo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Toledo
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 5 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Toledo
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Toledo
0:4
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo vs Noblejas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Atta K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 77 / 100
Toledo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noblejas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Noblejas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Noblejas scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Toledo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Toledo
1.6 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.38
80% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
19 Aug
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 2
Noblejas
09 May
Noblejas
1 : 1
Marchamalo
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Toledo

(Away)
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4
Toledo
05 Aug
Toledo
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
24 May
Toledo
0 : 1
Albacete B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)