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Noblejas vs Villacanas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
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Match Events

21' Event
Perez Garcia Bravo D.
40' Event
Molina J. J. L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 game between Noblejas and Villacanas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villacanas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Noblejas
20%
Draws
40%
Villacanas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villacanas come out ahead of Noblejas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 24%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Villacanas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Villacanas
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Noblejas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Villacanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Garcia Bravo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina J. J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 37 / 100
Villacanas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Villacanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villacanas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noblejas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Villacanas conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Noblejas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Villacanas
1.29 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
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Villacanas

(Away)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)