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Noblejas vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Damaso R.
47' Event
Gomez Martinez C.
59' Event
Sabate F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Noblejas
35%
Draws
19%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Noblejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarrubia have won more games recently than Noblejas.
  • Model gives Noblejas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Noblejas Clean Sheet 68%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Noblejas Villarrubia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Noblejas vs Villarrubia
2:2
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Noblejas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Noblejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez Martinez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crespo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Damaso R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Noblejas 77 / 100
Villarrubia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Noblejas Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Noblejas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Noblejas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Villarrubia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Noblejas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Noblejas VS Villarrubia
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Noblejas

(Home)
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2
Illescas
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Noblejas
2 : 1
Toledo
13 Sept
San Clemente
1 : 1
Noblejas
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
Page 1 of 6

Villarrubia

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quintanar del Rey 34 17 13 4 31:15 64
2 Albacete B 34 17 12 5 61:31 63
3 Toledo 34 18 8 8 47:17 62
4 Villacanas 34 18 8 8 39:29 62
5 Socuellamos 34 16 9 9 47:24 57
6 Huracan de Balazote 34 14 14 6 41:28 56
7 CD Tarancon 34 15 10 9 41:31 55
8 Cazalegas 34 14 7 13 47:44 49
9 Puertollano C.F. 34 11 15 8 39:39 48
10 Villarrubia 34 12 11 11 40:38 47
11 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 12 9 13 45:37 45
12 CD Pedroneras 34 11 10 13 37:43 43
13 Marchamalo 34 12 5 17 50:47 41
14 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:49 41
15 Villarrobledo 34 10 9 15 31:49 36
16 Valdepenas 34 3 13 18 21:48 22
17 Noblejas 34 3 9 22 30:69 18
18 Manzanares 34 2 9 23 23:72 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2024/2025 (Play Offs)