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Nocerina vs Angri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Fraraccio F.
5' Event
Addessi S.
65' Event
Gerbaudo M.

AI Match Summary

Nocerina in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nocerina
20%
Draws
30%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Nocerina have won more games recently than Angri.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Angri
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 14 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.37 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Angri
6:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Angri vs Nocerina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nocerina Compare

Top Goalscorer Favetta C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fraraccio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Angri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 95 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 74% of their last 38 outings.

Recent resilience: Nocerina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
11 Aug
Nocerina
3 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0
Nocerina
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
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Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)