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Stadium Background

Nocerina vs Castel di Sangro

Italy Italy

Serie C2/C 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie C2/C 2004/2005 game between Nocerina and Castel di Sangro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nocerina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Nocerina
35%
Draws
16%
Castel di Sangro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Very High Confidence
  • Castel di Sangro haven't matched Nocerina's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nocerina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 17%
Castel di Sangro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nocerina Castel di Sangro
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 13 5
Draws 14 6
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 24.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2005 Serie C2/C
Nocerina vs Castel di Sangro
1:0
Dec 8, 2004 Serie C2/C
Castel di Sangro vs Nocerina
0:1
May 9, 2004 Serie C2/C
Nocerina vs Castel di Sangro
1:1
Jan 5, 2004 Serie C2/C
Castel di Sangro vs Nocerina
0:0
May 4, 2002 Lega Pro C1/B
Castel di Sangro vs Nocerina
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nocerina 84 / 100
Castel di Sangro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nocerina Castel di Sangro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castel di Sangro conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nocerina scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

Nocerina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Castel di Sangro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nocerina VS Castel di Sangro
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 24
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nocerina

(Home)
03 May
Nocerina
0 : 1
Ischia
26 Apr
Monastir
1 : 0
Nocerina
19 Apr
Nocerina
1 : 1
Flaminia
12 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 0
Nocerina
02 Apr
Nocerina
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 8

Castel di Sangro

(Away)
19 Jul
Avellino
24 : 0
Castel di Sangro
20 Jul
Bari
17 : 0
Castel di Sangro
19 Jul
Avellino
25 : 0
Castel di Sangro
15 May
Castel di Sangro
2 : 2
Rende
08 May
Morro d'Oro Calcio
3 : 2
Castel di Sangro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manfredonia 34 21 9 4 62:23 72
2 Juve Stabia 34 22 5 7 48:28 71
3 Gela 34 19 10 5 43:23 67
4 Cavese 34 17 8 9 45:23 59
5 Giugliano 34 15 13 6 48:36 58
6 Melfi 34 13 10 11 31:35 49
7 Potenza 34 13 9 12 32:31 48
8 Rosetana Calcio 34 13 6 15 31:38 45
9 Lamezia 34 11 11 12 39:38 44
10 Pro Vasto 34 11 10 13 36:38 43
11 Rende 34 11 10 13 31:39 43
12 Latina 34 9 15 10 27:27 42
13 Igea Virtus 34 12 6 16 35:38 42
14 Morro d'Oro Calcio 34 9 13 12 25:36 40
15 USD Ragusa 34 8 10 16 29:42 34
16 Taranto 34 7 7 20 25:50 28
17 Nocerina 34 6 8 20 19:41 26
18 Castel di Sangro 34 5 8 21 25:45 23
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/B 2005/2006 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/C 2004/2005 (Play Offs)